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Volatility Risk Premia and Exchange Rate Predictability

Della Corte, Pasquale; Ramadorai, Tarun; Sarno, Lucio - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

We investigate the predictive information content in foreign exchange volatility risk premia for exchange rate returns …. The volatility risk premium is the difference between realized volatility and a model-free measure of expected volatility … that is derived from currency options, and reflects the cost of insurance against volatility ‡fluctuations in the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084715

Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests

Dumas, Bernard J; Fleming, Jeff; Whaley, Robert E - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1996

Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the … underlying asset’s return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time, and develop the deterministic volatility … 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498195

The Effect of Introducing a Non-redundant Derivative on the Volatility of Stock-Market Returns

Bhamra, Harjoat Singh; Uppal, Raman - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2006

We study the effect of introducing a new security, such as a non-redundant derivative, on the volatility of stock … increases the volatility of stock-market returns. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114422

Late Informed Betting and the Favourite-Longshot Bias

Ottaviani, Marco; Sørensen, Peter Norman - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2003

According to the favorite-longshot bias observed in pari-mutuel betting, the final distribution of bets overestimates the winning chance of longshots. This Paper proposes an explanation of this bias based on late betting by small privately informed bettors. These bettors have an incentive to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504377

Excessive continuation and Dynamic Agency Costs of Debt

Décamps, Jean Paul; Faure-Grimaud, Antoine - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2000

This paper analyses the incentives of the equityholders of a leveraged company to shut it down in a continuous time, stochastic environment. Keeping the firm as an ongoing concern has an option value but equity and debt holders value it differently. Equity holders' decisions exhibit excessive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504424

New Techniques to Extract Market Expectations from Financial Instruments

Söderlind, Paul; Svensson, Lars E O - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1997

This paper is a selective survey of new or recent methods to extract information about market expectations from asset prices for monetary policy purposes. Traditionally, interest rates and forward exchange rates have been used to extract expected means of future interest rates, exchange rates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504605

Direct Estimation of the Risk Neutral Factor Dynamics of Affine Term Structure Models

Bams, Dennis; Schotman, Peter C - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1998

This paper proposes a panel data framework for tests of affine models of the term structure of interest rates which cover equilibrium (or endogenous) models as well as extended (or exogenous, evolutionary) models. The econometric model pools yield curve data for different moments in time. Since...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498193

Too-Systemic-To-Fail: What Option Markets Imply About Sector-wide Government Guarantees

Kelly, Bryan; Lustig, Hanno; van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012

We examine the pricing of financial crash insurance during the 2007-2009 financial crisis in U.S. option markets. A large amount of aggregate tail risk is missing from the price of financial sector crash insurance during the financial crisis. The difference in costs of out-of-the-money put...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083289

Carry

Koijen, Ralph; Moskowitz, Tobias J; Pedersen, Lasse Heje; … - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

, and volatility risks, its performance presents a challenge to asset pricing models. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083673

Mencía, Javier; Sentana, Enrique - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2015

We compare Semi-Nonparametric expansions of the Gamma distribution with alternative Laguerre expansions, showing that they substantially widen the range of feasible moments of positive random variables. Then, we combine those expansions with a component version of the Multiplicative Error Model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186623