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This paper shows that the EMU has not affected historical characteristics of member countries’ business cycles and their cross-correlations. Member countries which had similar levels of GDP per-capita in the seventies have also experienced similar business cycles since then and no significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791961
The European Central Bank has assigned a special role to money in its two pillar strategy and has received much criticism for this decision. The case against including money in the central bank's interest rate rule is based on a standard model of the monetary transmission process that underlies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497931
inflation while declaring monetary aggregates largely irrelevant. Critics, however, have argued that these models need to be … modified to account for observed money growth and inflation trends, and that monetary trends may serve as a useful cross … persistent errors in monetary policy and sustained trends in money growth and inflation. If interest rate prescriptions derived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656152
output or inflation as in the empirical 'two-pillar' Phillips curves estimated in some recent contributions, it would be …-checking does not require direct effects of money on output or inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792117
The recent literature on monetary policy in the presence of a zero lower bound on interest rates has shown that forward guidance regarding the path of interest rates can be very effective in preserving macroeconomic stability in the face of a contractionary demand shock; moreover, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509467
. Whereas our methodology is general, we focus on an extended macro-model with unobservable processes for the inflation target … inflation target dominates the variation in the 'level factor' whereas monetary policy shocks dominate the variation in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136692
criticized for failing to explain common trends in money growth and inflation, and that therefore money should be used as a cross …-check is shown to be effective in offsetting persistent deviations of inflation due to central bank misperceptions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577801
disinflation under inflation targeting policies. The analysis is motivated by the disinflation performance of many inflation … episode price-setting firms' expect inflation to be highly persistent and opt for backward-looking indexation. As the central … bank acts to bring inflation under control, price-setting firms revise their estimates of the degree of persistence. Such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114241
response is central bank private information about the state of the economy or about its own target for inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792395
entirely explained by U.S. shocks and by the systematic response of U.S. and European variables (inflation, short term rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136545