. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the likelihood of rare disasters drop to a much more pessimistic level once a … between rational and adaptive Bayesian learning. Rational learners account for the possibility of future changes in beliefs in …-valued and price-dividend ratios vary less under adaptive versus rational learning for identical priors. …

aggregation jointly shape social learning. Our environment features substantial social learning. We show that learning occurs via …

%). They occur in both directions, with more over-sampling (39%) than under-sampling (8%). The main difference with the theory … theory, with adversaries sampling more when their own cost is low and when the other adversary's cost is high. Finally, there … is little evidence of learning over the 40 matches of the experiment. …

policy implications. Last, applications of this theory to other issues such as self-knowledge, willpower and habit formation …

. We consider a dynamic game in which firms improve both a new and a rival old technology while learning about the relative …

the Phillips curve the less does optimal policy aim towards learning. …

We introduce learning into a Hotelling model of a non-renewable resource market. By combining learning and scarcity we … add significantly to the dynamics implied by learning and substantially enhance the volatility of commodity prices. In our … learning model we show how a self confirming equilibrium exists but is not constant over time. As scarcity increases the SCE …