Showing 1 - 10 of 550
as method of identification, extending Uhlig (1997), and by imposing orthogonality to business cycle shocks and monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124017
This paper examines the relationship between fiscal policy and the current account, drawing on a larger country sample than in previous studies and using panel regressions, vector auto-regressions, and an analysis of large fiscal and external adjustments. On average, a strengthening in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468562
We analyse different forms of international debt mutualisation in a simple framework with a political distortion and (partial) default under adverse economic circumstances. One form is a debt repayment guarantee, which can be "unlimited" or "limited", i.e. only be invoked when the guarantee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083437
There has been a lot of interest recently in developing small-scale rule-based empirical macro models for the analysis of monetary policy. These models, based on the conventional view that inflation stabilization should be a concern of monetary policy only, have typically neglected the role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662224
feedback—can be explained by their mis-specification. Using data for the U.S. economy and two alternative identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497892
We use the time series of shifts in U.S. Federal tax liabilities constructed by Romer and Romer to estimate tax multipliers. Differently from the single-equation approach adopted by Romer and Romer, our estimation strategy (a Var that includes output, government spending and revenues, inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082536
about one. Is this heterogeneity real, or is it simply the result of different approaches to the identification of exogenous … reconcile this apparently contradictory evidence by showing that the large multiplier obtained via the narrative identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468626
-contingent framework. We achieve identification of causal effects with new propensity-score based methods for time series data. Using this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083942
This paper studies how the effects of government spending vary with the economic environment. Using a panel of OECD countries, we identify fiscal shocks as residuals from an estimated spending rule and trace their macroeconomic impact under different conditions regarding the exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083665
We identify government spending news and surprise shocks using a novel identification based on the Survey of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083743