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and volatility in contrast to the exogenously assumed constant mean and volatility in many credit risk models. We consider … attenuated (amplified) market volatility and risk premium, but the market value is always higher in economic downturns, and lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788927
persist for some time. Thus, belief dynamics are a source of apparent excess volatility relative to a rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201120
Despite much work on hedging in incomplete markets, the literature still lacks tractable dynamic hedges in plausible environments. In this article, we provide a simple solution to this problem in a general incomplete-market economy in which a hedger, guided by the traditional minimum-variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024486
Mean-variance criteria remain prevalent in multi-period problems, and yet not much is known about their dynamically optimal policies. We provide a fully analytical characterization of the optimal dynamic mean-variance portfolios within a general incomplete-market economy, and recover a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656376
Using a calibrated OLG model with several sources of uncertainty we find that the impact of ageing and of reform of social security upon the demand for housing and the level of owner occupation is substantial. The overall structure of household asset holdings – in particular the split between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662297
Money managers behave strategically when competing for fund flows within relatively small groups. We study strategic interaction between two risk-averse managers in continuous time, characterizing analytically their unique equilibrium dynamic investments. Driven by chasing and contrarian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144728
regimes that are nested within this framework: inflation, output-gap growth and nominal income growth targeting; and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008459765
We use portfolio theory to quantify the efficiency of state-level sectoral patterns of production in the United States … volatility of state output growth, rather than in its average. The realized industry shares of output also converge faster to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504526
forward premia on monthly exchange rate returns in a framework that allows for volatility timing. We implement Bayesian … stochastic volatility innovations; and (ii) strategies based on combined forecasts yield large economic gains over the random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123849
We use portfolio theory to quantify the efficiency of state-level sectoral patterns of production in the United States … primarily from convergence in the volatility of state output growth, rather than in its average. The realized industry shares of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662195