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commodity-exporting countries. We show that the introduction of hedging instruments such as futures and options enhances …This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains of hedging against commodity price risk for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577805
futures contracts. Their hedging demand is met by financial intermediaries who act as speculators, but are constrained in risk … 1980-2006, we show that producers’ hedging demand - proxied by their default risk - forecasts spot prices, futures prices …-taking. Increases (decreases) in producers’ hedging demand (the risk-bearing capacity of speculators) increase the costs of hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016244
The UK pound left the ERM on 16 September 1992 after a period of turbulence. UK monetary policy soon shifted to lower short interest rates and an inflation target was announced. This paper uses daily option prices to estimate how the market’s probability distribution of the future Deutsche...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791268
While most empirical analysis of prediction markets treats prices of binary options as predictions of the probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136573
We show that banks' cash flow exposure to interest rate risk, or income gap, plays a crucial role in their lending behavior following monetary policy shocks. In a first step, we show that the sensitivity of bank profits to interest rates increases significantly with their income gap, even when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145414
in a standard framework in which uninformed traders with hedging needs interact with risk-averse informed traders in … hedging and speculative demands: risk-averse arbitrageurs can hedge in the new market to lower the risk of speculative … traders with pure hedging motives in that market to withdraw, so reducing liquidity in the old market. The general point …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504789
a fund’s portfolio through additional leverage and hedging. First-best spending should be a share of total wealth, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084308
We study risk taking on behalf of others in an experiment on a large random sample. The decision makers in our experiment are facing high-powered incentives to increase the risk on behalf of others through hedged compensation contracts or with tournament incentives. Compared to a baseline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084365
We use a general equilibrium model as a laboratory for generating predictable excess returns and for assessing the properties of the estimated consumption/portfolio rules, under both the empirical and the true dynamics of excess returns. The advantage of this approach, relative to the existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145396
We model the demand-pressure effect on prices when options cannot be perfectly hedged. The model shows that demand … demand helps explain the overall expensiveness and skew patterns of both index options and single-stock options. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067592