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Demographic Change and Bank Profitability. Empirical Evidence from German Savings Banks

Berlemann, Michael; Oestmann, Marco; Thum, Marcel - CESifo - 2010

, allows us estimating the socio-demographic determinants of retail profitability. Using a simulation model, we are able to … predict the development of bank profitability due to demographic shifts up to 2025. One of the main findings is that the … the population reduces the customer base, ageing per se increases profitability as older customers typically generate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534055

Competition and Gender Prejudice: Are Discriminatory Employers Doomed to Fail?

Weber, Andrea; Zulehner, Christine - CESifo - 2009

According to Becker's (1957) famous theory on discrimination, entrepreneurs with a strong prejudice against female workers forgo profits by submitting to their tastes. In a competitive market their firms lack efficiency and are therefore forced to leave. We present new empirical evidence for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572488

On the Evolution of Market Institutions: The Platform Design Paradox

Alós-Ferrer, Carlos; Kirchsteiger, Georg; Walzl, Markus - CESifo - 2007

We study competition among market designers who create new trading platforms, when boundedly rational traders learn to select among them. We ask whether efficient platforms, leading to market - clearing trading outcomes, will dominate the market in the long run. If several market designers are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406426

Reason, Intuition, and Time

Sahm, Marco; Weizsäcker, Robert K. von - CESifo - 2014

prevalent in early and late stages of a learning process, whereas reason governs decisions in intermediate stages. Examples …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103391

On the Perils of Stabilizing Prices when Agents are Learning

Mele, Antonio; Molnár, Krisztina; Santoro, Sergio - CESifo - 2015

losses are outweighed by short term gains from the learning phase. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011155373

Compliance Dynamics Generated by Social Interaction Rules

Lipatov, Vilen - CESifo - 2014

We study compliance dynamics generated by a large set of behavioral rules describing social interaction in a population of agents facing an enforcement authority. When the authority adjusts the auditing probability every period, cycling in cheating-auditing occurs: Intensive monitoring induces...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010764298

Policy Experimentation, Political Competition, and Heterogeneous Beliefs

Millner, Antony; Ollivier, Hélène; Simon, Leo - CESifo - 2014

endogenously influence whether learning occurs through its policy choices (policy experimentation), future political competition …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010781549

Carbon Prices for the Next Hundred Years

Gerlagh, Reyer; Liski, Matti - CESifo - 2014

World income grows fast without verifiable climate-change impacts on the economy. The growth spell can end if climate impacts turn real but this can take decades to learn. We develop a tractable stochastic climate-economy model with a hidden-state impact process to evaluate the contributions of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747216

Rationality, Irrationality and Economic Cognition

Whalley, John - CESifo - 2005

. Learning played a major role in individuals achieving what was referred to as complete rationality. I draw on these ideas, and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094429

When is Ambiguity-Attitude Constant?

Eichberger, Jürgen; Grant, Simon; Kelsey, David - CESifo - 2012

This paper studies how updating affects ambiguity-attitude. In particular we focus on the generalized Bayesian update of the Jaffray-Phillipe sub-class of Choquet Expected Utility preferences. We find conditions for ambiguity-attitude to be the same before and after updating. A necessary and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010539152