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Using nonlinear testing procedures relevant to the recent literature, this study provides evidence of nonlinear adjustment of nominal exchange rate towards monetary fundamentals in the context of ASEAN-5 countries. While it supports earlier findings supportive of monetary exchange rate model in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619526
heteroskedasticity. GARCH models have thus become very popular, given their ability to account for volatility clustering and, implicitly … weaknesses we apply GARCH-type models with alpha-stable innovations. The stable family of distributions constitutes a … GARCH(1,1) and a TGARCH(1,1) with symmetric stable shocks using as auxiliary model a GARCH(1,1) with skew-t innovations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260772
, South Africa, the UK, and the USA, both at the market and sectoral level in 2000-2010. Using multivariate GARCH models, our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370830
Since the seminal work by Engle (1982), the autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model has been an important tool for estimating the time-varying volatility as a measure of risk. Numerous extensions of this model have been put forward in the literature. The current paper offers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112499
Sornette et al. (1996), Sornette and Johansen (1997), Johansen et al. (2000) and Sornette (2003a) proposed that, prior to crashes, the mean function of a stock index price time series is characterized by a power law decorated with log-periodic oscillations, leading to a critical point that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113835
We consider the estimation of a large number of GARCH models, of the order of several hundreds. To achieve parsimony …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005008555
The purpose of this study is to test predictive performance of Asymmetric Normal Mixture Garch (NMAGARCH) and other … Garch models based on Kupiec and Christoffersen tests for Turkish equity market. The empirical results show that the … NMAGARCH perform better based on %99 CI out-of-sample forecasting Christoffersen test where Garch with normal and student …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005786939
, including symmetric and asymmetric distribution, and a family of GARCH volatility models. Our results on simulated data show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789224
), we documented GARCH effect in the trade model. Taking that into consideration, our result shows that real exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790192
A test of the CAPM is developed conditional on a prior belief about the correlation between the true market return and the proxy return used in the test. Consideration is given to the effect of the proxy's mismeasurement of the market return on the estimation of the market model. Failure to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543524