Showing 1 - 10 of 29
In this paper we propose a Libor model with a high-dimensional speciallystructured system of driving CIR volatility processes. A stablecalibration procedure which takes into account a given local correlationstructure is presented. The calibration algorithm is FFT based, so fastand easy to implement.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860831
employ autoregressive models (AR) to forecast principal components which, in turn, are used to forecast swap rates. Arguing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860579
In this study we forecast the term structure of FIBOR/EURIBOR swap rates by means of recursive vector autoregressive … and curvature of the swap term structure, we rely on measures of both statistical and economic performance. Whereas the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005862104
We present a new way to model age-specific demographic variables with the example of age-specific mortality in the U.S., building on the Lee-Carter approach and extendingit in several dimensions. We incorporate covariates and model their dynamics jointly with the latent variables underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860485
We propose a stochastic control approach to the dynamic maximization ofrobust utility functionals that are defined in terms of logarithmic utility and a dynamically consistent convex risk measure. The underlying market is modeled by a diffusion process whose coefficients are driven by an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861275
As a main step in the numerical solution of control problems in continuous time,the controlled process is approximated by sequences of controlled Markov chains, thus discretising time and space. A new feature in this context is to allow for delay in the dynamics. The existence of an optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861977
The subject of the present paper is a simplified model for a symmetric bistable system with memory or delay, the reference model, which in the presence of noise exhibits a phenomenon similar to what is known as stochastic resonance. The reference model is given by a one dimensional parametrized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005862111
The catching up process in Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland is analyzed by investigating the integration properties of log-differences in per-capita GDP versus the EU15 and a Mediterranean country group. We account for structural changes by using unit root tests that allow for two endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005862323
We present an explicit solution to an optimal stopping problem in a model described by a stochastic delay differential equation with an exponential delay measure. The method of proof is based on reducing the initial problem to a free-boundary problem and solving the latter by means of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005862332
We propose a new nonlinear classification method based on a Bayesian "sum-of-trees" model, the Bayesian Additive Classification Tree (BACT), whichextends the Bayesian Additive Regression Tree (BART) method into the classification context. Like BART, the BACT is a Bayesian nonparametric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860755