Showing 1 - 10 of 52
Suppose a decision maker (DM) has partial information about certain events of a ?-algebra A belonging to set ? and assesses their likelihood through a capacity v. When is this information probabilistic, i.e. compatible with a probability ? We consider three notions of compatibility with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008622049
We analyze the aggregation problem without the assumption that individuals and society have fully determined and observable preferences. More precisely, we endow individuals ans society with sets of possible von Neumann-Morgenstern utility functions over lotteries. We generalize the classical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008679895
Since they have been increasingly used in economics, elicitation rules for subjective beliefs are under scrutiny. In this paper, we propose an experimental design to compare the performance of such rules. Contrary to previous works in which elicited beliefs are compared to an objective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727364
This paper shows that it is possible to extend the scope of the existence of rational bubbles when uncertainty is introduced associated with rank-dependent expected utility. This RDU assumption can be viewed as a transformation of probabilities depending on the pessimism/optimism of the agent....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493573
In this paper, a fully choice-based theory of disappointment is developed. It encompasses, as particular cases, EU theory, Gul's theory of disappointment (1991) and the models of Loomes and Sugden (1986). According to the new theory, the risk premium of a random prospect is the sum of two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784457
The paper shows that financial market equilibria need not exist if agents possess cumulative prospect theory preferences with piecewise-power value functions. The reason is an infiniteshort-selling problem. But even when a short-sell constraint is added, non-existence can occur due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857777
far. This paper argues that downside risk aversion and ambiguity aversion explain the limited success of cat bonds. Hybrid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857781
We study properties of structured financial products optimizing a utility functional of a customer. The conventional method may have the disadvantage that the a priori restriction to a certain number of assets could make it impossible to find the optimal portfolio. So instead of optimizing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858026
We conduct controlled experiments in order to analyze individual trading behavior. Our results suggest that investors measure their gains relative to their initial wealth, and that this reference point together with past stock price changes determine the portfolio choices. Subjects choose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858051
We analyze the investment behavior of private clients concerning structured products. To ascertain their stated and revealed preferences, we use a questionnaire and a field experiment, respectively. The real product issued in the field experiment is comparable to one product in the questionnaire...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858052