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for macroeconomic forecasting to VARs given the recent advances in VARMA modelling methodology and improvements in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087575
the other periods. Croston's method is a widely used procedure for intermittent demand forecasting. However, it is an ad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087603
It is a common practice to complement a forecasting method such as simple exponential smoothing with a monitoring …
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state space models obtained by the CCA subspace algorithm, including a density forecasting analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706234
In this paper, using recent empirical results regarding the statistical properties of macroeconomic data revisions, we study the effects of data revisions in a general equilibrium framework. We find that the presence of data revisions, or data uncertainty, creates a precautionary motive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706560
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We examine out of sample predictive power of real time monetary models with nonlinear adjustment in forecast errors for the Pound Sterling/US Dollar exchange rates. Real time revisions of U.K. and U.S. monetary aggregates and output are significant. By studying recursive out of sample forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537456
-term relationship. We finally conclude by comparing the forecasting ability of these two approaches with classical models such as Random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537606