assumed to be Gaussian, the resulting prediction distribution may have an infinite variance beyond a certain forecasting … approximation causes no serious problems for parameter estimation or for forecasting one or two steps ahead. However, for longer …. The performance of the Gaussian approximation is compared with those of two lognormal models for short-term forecasting …

exponential smoothing method of forecasting on a database of demand series for slow moving car parts. The methods considered … negative binomial measurements, and the Croston method of forecasting. In the case of the Croston method, a maximum likelihood …

-term forecasting and also produce sensible long-term forecasts. The forecasts are compared with the official Australian government …

the other periods. Croston's method is a widely used procedure for intermittent demand forecasting. However, it is an ad …

It is a common practice to complement a forecasting method such as simple exponential smoothing with a monitoring …