forecasting. The parameter space for SSOE models may be specified to match that of the corresponding ARIMA scheme, or it may be … that underlies the Holt-Winters forecasting method. Conditionally heteroscedastic models may be developed in a similar …

forecasting error (MISFE) and accounts for 99.3% of variation around the mean mortality curve. 20 year forecast suggest a … greatest decline in older women. We illustrate the utility of a new modelling and forecasting approach to model breast cancer …