Showing 1 - 10 of 198
After the introduction of a stabilization program Israeli inflation decreased from 400% in 1985 to 2% in 2013. This … process is defined by three clear steps of high, medium and low inflation. The break dates are in line with major economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277264
The conduct of inflation targeting is heavily dependent on accurate inflation forecasts. Non-linear models have … African infl ation by means of non-linear models and using a long historical dataset of seasonally-adjusted monthly inflation …, given the fact that 1969:10 marks the beginning of a protracted rising trend in South African inflation data, we estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095462
This paper exploits the Lucas’ (1973) signal extraction model to study the effect of uncertainty in the output-inflation … trade-off on inflation, using a monetary model with asymmetric central bank preferences over inflation and output. We show … monetary policy to influence inflation movements so that, higher volatility in monetary policy causes inflation to rise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095467
The oil price-inflation relationship has been at the center of attention among economists and policy makers, especially … after 1970’s oil shocks that resulted to a significant increase in the inflation rate in number of countries around the … world. In this study, we aim to investigate the evolving relationship between oil price and inflation in South Africa, using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784810
The paper develops a short-run model of a small open financially repressed economy characterized by unorganized money markets, intermediate good imports, capital mobility and flexible exchange rates. The analysis shows that financial liberalization, in the form of increased rate of interest on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773168
The paper analyzes the effects of financial liberalization on steady-state inflation. We develop an overlapping … sign of the inflation-financial repression relationship depends crucially on the elasticity of substitution between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773203
convertibility. The analysis shows that the effect of financial liberalization on rate of inflation and the movements of the nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773210
The persistence property of inflation is an important issue for not only economists, but, especially for central banks …, given that the degree of inflation persistence determines the extent to which central banks can control inflation. Also, not … only is the level of inflation persistence that is important in economic analyses, but also the question of whether the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095454
Anchored inflation expectations are of key importance for monetary policy. If long-terminflation expectations arewell … breaks to investigate the de- and re-anchoring of US inflation expectations. We confirm earlier evidence on the de …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938965
The objective of this paper is to predict, both in-sample and out-of-sample, the consumer price index (CPI) of the United States (US) economy based on monthly data covering the period of 1980:1-2013:12, using a variety of linear (random walk (RW), autoregressive (AR) and seasonally-adjusted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196639