Showing 1 - 10 of 262
This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'European Economic Review' (2013). Vol. 61, pp. 186-204.<P> Rational Expectations (RE) models have two crucial dimensions: 1) agents correctly forecast future prices given all available information, and 2) given expectations, agents solve...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256912
This discussion paper led to a publication in 'Macroeconomic Dynamics' (2013). Vol. 17(8), pp. 1574-1604.<P> The recent macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous expectations in the formulation of monetary policy. We use a stylized macro model of Howitt (1992) to...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255558
This discussion paper resulted in a publication in <A HREF="http://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/A%3A1003253925406">'De Economist'</A>, 1998, 146, 59-89.<P> Since the 1950's economists applied game theoretical concepts to a wide variety of economic problems. The Nash equilibrium concept has proven to be a powerful instrument in analyzing the outcome of economic...</p></a>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257111
behavioral learning equilibria as a plausible explanation of coordination of individual expectations and aggregate phenomena such …. The simplicity of behavioral learning equilibria makes coordination of individual expectations on such an aggregate … outcome more likely. In a first application, an asset pricing model with AR(1) dividends, a unique behavioral learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257225
consider a simple real business cycle model with noisy learning by doing. The solution has a stationary distribution that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255583
We study a model of collective decision making with endogenous information collection.Agents collect information about the consequences of a project, communicate, and then vote onthe project. We examine under what conditions communication may increase the probability thatgood decisions are made....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255757
successfully but nevertheless lost public support, and vice versa. We show that learning dynamics can rationalize this apparent … identity (reform winner or loser?) more pessimistic about their chances of benefiting from the reform. Consequently, learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255925
We develop a theoretical framework for studying the effects of interaction on the quaJity of decision-making by monetary policy committees. We show that interaction, i.e. increasing one's expertise through an exchange of views, is most likely not to result in interdependent voting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256224
We study two aspects of globalization. It allows a decision-maker to go beyond his own local experience and to learn from other decision-makers in addressing common problems. This improves the identification and diffusion of best practices. It also provides extra information to `markets' that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257292
parameters in a stylised macroeconomic model in which agents are boundedly rational and use an adaptive learning rule to form … expectations of the endogenous variable. In particular, when the learning recursion is subject to so-called decreasing gain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255677