Showing 1 - 10 of 17
In this study we examine dynamic macroeconomic spillovers in the United States, with a particular focus on the stock market, housing and economic policy uncertainty (EPU). Based on monthly data over the period 1987M1 to 2014M11, our findings reveal the following features. First, the transmission...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265896
This paper first tests if housing prices in the five segments of the South African housing market, namely, large-middle, medium-middle, small-middle, luxury and affordable, exhibits non-linearity based on smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) models estimated using quarterly data covering the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008486900
This paper investigates the long-run impact of inflation on homeowner equity in South Africa by analysing the … expenditure. In general, we infer that house prices in South Africa provide a stable, but quantitatively minor, inflation hedge in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010545740
Inflation forecasts are a key ingredient for monetary policymaking - especially in an inflation targeting country such …. As such, other variables,e.g. such as alternative measures of inflation that might be of interest to policymakers, do not … generate recursive forecasts over 2000Q1-2011Q4. The hybrid DSGE performs extremely well in forecasting inflation variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754110
This paper evaluates the welfare gain from reducing inflation permanently from two percent to price stability and … inflation and capital income taxation, in calculating the gain from moving to a zero rate of inflation. Though the annual … deadweight loss of a two percent inflation rate is 0.225 percent of GDP - a relatively small number when compared to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005039673
The paper develops a short-run model of a small open financially repressed economy characterized by unorganized money markets, intermediate good imports, capital mobility and flexible exchange rates. The analysis shows that financial liberalization, in the form of increased rate of interest on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773168
The paper analyzes the effects of financial liberalization on steady-state inflation. We develop an overlapping … sign of the inflation-financial repression relationship depends crucially on the elasticity of substitution between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773203
convertibility. The analysis shows that the effect of financial liberalization on rate of inflation and the movements of the nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773210
inflation distorts a variety of marginal decisions, to evaluate the welfare cost of inflation in South Africa – a country, where …, since the February of 2000, the sole objective of the central bank has been to keep the inflation rate within the target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008513005
The existing literature on the theoretical relationship between the rate of inflation and real stock prices in an … economy has shown varied predictions about the long run effects of inflation on real stock prices. In this paper, we present … that, in the long run real stock prices are invariant to permanent changes in the rate of inflation. The impulse responses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008756445