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Appropriate modeling of the process of volatility has implications for portfolio selection, the pricing of derivative securities and risk management. Further, a large body of research has suggested that both long memory and structural changes simultaneously characterize the structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010755815
Existing no trade results are based on the common prior assumption (CPA). This paper identifies a strictly weaker condition than the CPA under which speculative trade is impossible in a rational expectations equilibrium (REE). As our main finding, we demonstrate the impossibility of speculative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095473
This paper introduces an equilibrium concept for boundedly rational agents who base their demand-supply decisions on incorrect price anticipations. Formally, we differentiate between equilibrium and out-of-equilibrium states. If the agents attach zero prior probability to all out-of-equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095488
This paper develops a monetary endogenous growth overlapping generations model characterized by production lags - specifically lagged capital inputs - and an inflation targeting monetary authority, and analyses the growth dynamics that emerge from this framework. The growth process is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095439
This paper develops a monetary endogenous growth overlapping generations model characterized by endogenous longevity and an inflation targeting monetary authority, and analyzes the growth dynamics that emerges from this framework. Besides the endogenous longevity which depends on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008513008
-additive Savage framework. To this purpose I construct a model of Bayesian learning such that an agent's probability judgement is … is non-additive, the agent's probability judgements converge through Bayesian learning to the unique fuzzy probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095447
Based on the axiomatic framework of Choquet decision theory, we develop a closed-form model of Bayesian learning with … ambiguous beliefs about the mean of a normal distribution. In contrast to rational models of Bayesian learning the resulting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095461
. We adopt a Bayesian learning model of ambiguous survival beliefs which replicates these patterns. The model is em- bedded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096978
There exists a huge international literature on the, so-called, Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, which in turn, postulates an inverted u-shaped relationship between environmental pollutants and output. The empirical literature on EKC has mainly used test for cointegration, based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011240314
Given the existence of non-normality and nonlinearity in the data generating process of real house price returns over the period of 1831-2013, this paper compares the ability of various univariate copula models, relative to standard benchmarks (naive and autoregressive models) in forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011149761