Showing 1 - 10 of 12
available. For this situation, we employ a Bayesian quadrature method because it allows us to incorporate prior assumptions on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010658762
transition autoregressive models or time varying parameter models). Bayesian econometric methods for inference are developed for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010570531
transition autoregressive models or time varying parameter models). Bayesian econometric methods for inference are developed for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821083
Carlo algorithm to estimate the parameters and the latent variables in an efficient one-step procedure. Via the Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005784846
Bayesian statistical methods are naturally oriented towards pooling in a rigorous way information from separate sources … volatility or options prices. We develop a formal Bayesian framework where we can merge the backward looking information as … forecasting options prices out of sample (i.e. one-day ahead) our Bayesian estimators outperform standard forecasts that use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783847
This paper develops a new approach to change-point modeling that allows the number of change-points in the observed sample to be unknown. The model we develop assumes regime durations have a Poisson distribution. It approximately nests the two most common approaches: the time varying parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561905
Employing a Bayesian approach, we investigate the impact of international business cycles on the UK economy in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005422700
This paper makes use of the novel Generalized Stochastic Unit Root (GSTUR) model, Bayesian model estimation and model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005230649
This paper develops methods of Bayesian inference in a cointegrating panel data model. This model involves each cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005385058
Floor and Ceiling model. Bayesian and classical methods for estimation and testing are developed and compared in the context … of an application involving U.S. macroeconomic data. In terms of statistical significance both classical and Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005385072