Showing 1 - 8 of 8
Motivated by features of low latency data in financial econometrics we study in detail integervalued Lévy processes as the basis of price processes for high frequency econometrics. We propose using models built out of the difference of two subordinators. We apply these models in practice to low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677231
The expected value of sums of squared intraday returns (realized variance) gives rise to a least squares regression which adapts itself to the assumptions of the noise process and allows for a joint inference on integrated volatility (IV), noise moments and price-noise relations. In the iid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000435
We analyze the applicability of economic criteria for volatility forecast evaluation based on unconditional measures of portfolio performance. The main theoretical finding is that such unconditional measures generally fail to rank conditional forecasts correctly due to the presence of a bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008491711
Recently, consistent measures of the ex-post covariation of financial assets based on noisy high-frequency data have been proposed. A related strand of literature focuses on dynamic models and covariance forecasting for high-frequency data based covariance measures. The aim of this paper is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008462028
Motivated by features of low latency data in finance we study in detail discrete-valued Levy processes as the basis of price processes for high frequency econometrics.  An important case of this is a Skellam process, which is the difference of two independent Poisson processes.  We propose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008462339
This paper proposes a methodology for modelling time series of realized covariance matrices in order to forecast multivariate risks. The approach allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns and guarantees positive definiteness of the resulting forecasts without imposing parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440044
, allowing for a general market microstructure noise specification. We show that our estimators can outperform, in terms of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114118
This paper proposes a new method for forecasting covariance matrices of financial returns. The model mixes volatility forecasts from a dynamic model of daily realized volatilities estimated with high-frequency data with correlation forecasts based on daily data. This new approach allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008802540