Bayesian literature, with many variations and some preference for two versions labelled pppost and pcpred. The bootstrap method … develop: an ancillary based p-value designated panc; a special version of the Bayesian pcpred; and a bootstrap based p …. For implementation the Bayesian and likelihood procedures would perhaps require the same numerical computations, while the …

Bayesian statistical methods are naturally oriented towards pooling in a rigorous way information from separate sources … volatility or options prices. We develop a formal Bayesian framework where we can merge the backward looking information as … forecasting options prices out of sample (i.e. one-day ahead) our Bayesian estimators outperform standard forecasts that use …