Risk diversification is the basis of insurance and investment. It is thus crucial to study the effects that could limit it. One of them is the existence of systemic risk that affects all the policies at the same time. We introduce here a probabilistic approach to examine the consequences of its...

Expected Shortfall (ES) has been widely accepted as a risk measure that is conceptually superior to Value-at-Risk (VaR). At the same time, however, it has been criticized for issues relating to backtesting. In particular, ES has been found not to be elicitable which means that backtesting for ES...

Nous proposons dans cet article, à partir des approches de Taylor (2008) et de Gouriéroux et Jasiak (2008), d'agréger différents modèles de quantiles et d'expectiles afin d'obtenir une méthode plus robuste de calcul de la valeur-en-risque et de la perte conditionnelle maximale en...