Simple econometric tests reported in the literature consistently report what appears to be a bias in inflation expectations. These results are commonly interpreted as constituting evidence overturning the hypothesis of rational expectations. In this paper, we investigate the validity of such an...

Capital markets and their related financial instruments make an important contribution to the welfare of Canadians. The Bank of Canada is interested in the efficient functioning of capital markets through each of its responsibilities for monetary policy, the financial system, and funds...

The goal of this paper is to investigate and estimate long-run relationships among M1, prices, output and interest rates, with a view to determining if there is a stable relationship that can be interpreted as long-run money demand. The paper uses a maximum-likelihood multiple- equation...