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Vildosola, Luis - EconWPA - 1998

Theoretical study identifying one modality with conditions necesary for the financial stabilization of an inherently unstable system; and 5040 other unstable dynamic modes. It draws on knowledge made available by the academic field of Control Engineering.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125628

The conditions for a Sustainable U.S. Recovery: The Role of Investment

Arestis, Philip; Karakitsos, Elias - EconWPA - 2003

The anemic U.S. economic recovery and the threat of a double-dip recession stem from the weakness of investment, due to ….e., the all-time-high indebtedness in the face of falling asset prices) are preventing investment from picking up and are …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408108

MODELLING ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS IN SUBSAHARAN AFRICA:A VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE APPROACH

NWAOBI, DR. GODWIN CHUKWUDUM - EconWPA - 2004

trends in output, consumption and investment) to provide new evidence on this question(using subsaharan africa as a case …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412719

Investment, Private Information and Social Learning: A Case Study of the Semiconductor Industry

Cunningham, Rose - EconWPA - 2004

Social learning models of investment provide an interesting alternative explanation for sudden changes in investment … the investment suspension decisions of other agents. In this paper, I test the main predictions of their model using a … unique database of investment projects undertaken by semiconductor plants. I find that firms that are installing a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412756

Classical Estimation of Multivariate Markov-Switching Models using MSVARlib

BELLONE, BENOIT - EconWPA - 2005

This paper introduces an upgraded version of MSVARlib, a Gauss and Ox- Gauss compliant library, focusing on Multivariate Markov Switching Regressions in their most general specification. This new set of procedures allows to estimate, through classical optimization methods, models belonging to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407938

Effects of Business Cycles on Labour Market Assimilation of Immigrants

Aydemir, Abdurrahman - EconWPA - 2003

This study addresses the effects of macroeconomic conditions on the labour market outcomes of immigrants. It simultaneously identifies the separate effects of macro conditions at the time of entry to the labour market and at the time of the survey, while allowing for cohort effects. Also, for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408346

Effects of Business Cycles on Labour Market Assimilation of Immigrants

Aydemir, Abdurrahman - EconWPA - 2003

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408360

Leading Indicators of Euroland Business Cycles

Fritsche, Ulrich; Marklein, Felix - EconWPA - 2001

The introduction of a common monetary policy in eleven European countries increased the need for leading indicators for that area. A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076700

No More Rocking Horses: Trading Business-Cycle Depth for Duration Using an Economy-Specific Characteristic.

Mikhail, Ossama - EconWPA - 2004

Regarding the trade-off between the depth and the duration of recessions, there exists a mounting empirical evidence of the idiosyncratic and non-synchronized behavior of the business cycle over time within and across countries. In this paper, I propose a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076708

Do probit models help in forecasting turning points of German business cycles?

Fritsche, Ulrich - EconWPA - 2001

In this paper we used a data set constructed for a companion paper (Fritsche/Stephan, 2000) where we explored the leading indicator properties of different time series for the German business cycle. Now we test for the ability of different indicator series to forecast recessions by using a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076772