Using density forecasts, we compare the predictive performance of duration models that have been developed for modelling intra-day data on stock markets. The compared models are the autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models, their logarithmic versions, in each case with three...

We study how a limit order book reacts to informed trades and adverse selection. We estimate Sandas'(2001) version of the classical Glosten (1994) order book model and accept it, but only for the first two prices displayed on each side of the book. We then relax one of the assumption and allow...