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A Vector Autoregressive model (VAR) with normally distributed innovations is a Curved Exponential Model (CEM). Cointegration imposes further curvature on the model and this means that in addition to the important reasons for conditioning in non-stationary time series as given by Johansen (1995,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063620
A new model is developed that augments a structural VAR specification with a GARCH covariance matrix. The model is utilised to study time series dependencies between three size-sorted portfolios from the Australian Stock Exchange. Even after accounting for contemporaneous correlations the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063659
This paper introduces the Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Poisson model to deal with issues of discreteness, overdispersion and both auto- and cross-correlation, arising with multivariate counts. We model counts with a double Poisson and assume that conditionally on past observations the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702735
We introduce continuous-time models that capture the salient features of the short-term interest rate and remain tractable for asset pricing applications. We extend classical specifications within and outside of the affine class to multi-factor settings with latent variables that are readily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063579
The term structure of interest rates is often summarized using a handful of yield factors that capture shifts in the yield curve. Despite their wide application in financial economics, very little is known on the time-series properties of the yield-factor volatilities. We examine three common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702565
In this paper we investigate portfolio coskewness using a quadratic market model as return generating process. It is shown that portfolios of small (large) firms have negative (positive) coskewness with market. An asset pricing model including coskewness is tested through the restrictions it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328981
Bubbles are generally considered the outcome of investor irrationality or informational asymmetry, both objectionable … prices make a lognormal price process that nests the classic CAPM with a potential for endogenous bubbles through learning … might burst to bubbles or decline to near-zero, “pink-sheet†valuations. When the technology shifts phase to generate …
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