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Bringing French Public Debt Down: The Options for Fiscal Consolidation

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2011

France has a track record of persistent general government deficits, partly reflecting pro-cyclical fiscal policies in upswings. This has resulted in a quadrupling of its public debt-to-GDP ratio since the 1970s to above 80% of GDP. Reducing public debt is crucial because a high level of public...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003060

Looking to 2060: Long-Term Global Growth Prospects: A Going for Growth Report

Johansson, Åsa; Guillemette, Yvan; Murtin, Fabrice; … - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2012

This report presents the results from a new model for projecting growth of OECD and major non-OECD economies over the next 50 years as well as imbalances that arise. A baseline scenario assuming gradual structural reform and fiscal consolidation to stabilise government-debt-to GDP ratios is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276725

Long-Term Growth Scenarios

Johansson, Åsa; Guillemette, Yvan; Murtin, Fabrice; … - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2013

This paper presents the results from a new model for projecting growth of OECD and major non-OECD economies over the next 50 years as well as imbalances that arise. A baseline scenario assuming gradual structural reform and fiscal consolidation to stabilise government-debt-to GDP ratios is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276784

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Central and Eastern Europe: Surveying the Surveyable

Égert, Balázs; MacDonald, Ronald - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2008

This paper surveys recent advances in empirical studies of the monetary transmission mechanism (MTM), with special attention to Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). Our results indicate that the strength of the exchange rate pass-through substantially declined over time mainly due to a fall in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045716

Infrastructure and Growth: Empirical Evidence

Égert, Balázs; Koźluk, Tomasz; Sutherland, Douglas - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009

Investment in network infrastructure can boost long-term economic growth in OECD countries. Moreover, infrastructure investment can have a positive effect on growth that goes beyond the effect of the capital stock because of economies of scale, the existence of network externalities and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046058

The Impact of Monetary and Commodity Fundamentals, Macro News and Central Bank Communication on the Exchange Rate: Evidence from South Africa

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009

This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046067

Explaining the Interest-Rate-Growth Differential Underlying Government Debt Dynamics

Turner, David; Spinelli, Francesca - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2011

The differential between the interest rate paid to service government debt and the growth rate of the economy is a key concept in assessing fiscal sustainability. Among OECD economies, this differential was unusually low for much of the last decade compared with the 1980s and the first half of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009394362

The Effect of Government Debt, External Debt and their Interaction on OECD Interest Rates

Turner, David; Spinelli, Francesca - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2013

In the wake of the financial crisis there has been renewed focus on the importance of a country’s net external debt position in determining domestic interest rates and, relatedly, its vulnerability to a crisis. This paper extends the panel estimation of OECD countries described in Turner and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276942

Fiscal Policy Reaction to the Cycle in the OECD: Pro- or Counter-cyclical?

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2010

This paper analyses the reaction of fiscal policy to the cycle in OECD countries. The results suggest that while overall government balances were counter-cyclical in the past and more so in economic downturns than in upswings, discretionary fiscal policy was neutral on average. However,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542496

Catching-up and Inflation in Europe: Balassa-Samuelson, Engel's Law and Other Culprits

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2010

periods of very fast growth. We interpret these results as a sign that price level convergence comes from goods, market and … être vérifiée durant des périodes de forte croissance économique. Ces résultats suggèrent que la convergence des niveaux de … prix provient de la convergence des niveaux de prix des biens échangeables, des biens non-échangeables marchands et non …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008461038