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Measuring Volatility in Dairy Commodity Prices
O'Connor, Declan; Keane, Michael; Barnes, Edel - European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE - 2009
using the ARMA and GARCH framework their volatility is quantified. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008555552
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Evaluation of different predicting methods in forecasting Hungarian, Italian and Greek lamb prices
Fenyves, Veronika; Orban, Ildiko; Dajnoki, Krisztina; … - European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE - 2009
losses. Study of the literature on lamb sales called for an analysis of price forecasting. In my study, I performed a … forecasting of lamb prices in Hungary, Italy and Greek for the period between 1996 and 2007 based on the data of the European … Committee. Among the forecasting methods, Seasonal Decomposition and SARIMA models are the most precise, producers can achieve a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008555572
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Fruit production forecasting by neuro-fuzzy techniques
Atsalakis, George S.; Atsalakis, Ioanna G. - European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE
forecasting of linear and non-linear systems. This paper presents a neuro-fuzzy model for forecasting the fruit production of some … fruit forecasting is based on Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). ANFIS uses a combination of the least …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008555577
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Plagiarism Without Apology--Systematic Integration of Available Information in a Long Run Agricultural Outlook
Witzke, Heinz Peter; Britz, Wolfgang - European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE - 2005
was therefore set up as a simultaneous estimation and forecasting effort which permitted to integrate various, usually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005476846
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Assessing the Farm Level Impacts of Yield and Revenue Insurance: an Expected Value-Variance Approach
Berg, Ernst - European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE - 2002
This paper investigates the farm level impacts of multiple peril yield and revenue insurance in an expected value-variance framework. The analysis is conducted using stochastic simulation jointly with numerical optimisation. Simulation is used to compute the means and variances of revenues as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005806078
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Combining risk perception and risk attitude: A comprehensive individual risk behavior model
van Winsen, Frankwin; Wauters, Erwin; Lauwers, Ludwig H.; … - European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE - 2011
Although risk management in farming is a well-documented subject in scientific literature, this same literature is usually used only by other scientist and is not aiding individual farmers in their management. Risk perception and risk attitude are well described determinants of risk behaviour...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324331
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Alternative Insurance Indexes for Drought Risk in Developing Countries
Bobojonov, Ihtiyor; Sommer, Rolf - European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE - 2011
The paper compares the risk coping potential of insurances that are based on indices derived from weather (rainfall and temperature) data as well as from crop model and remote sensing analyses. Corresponding indices were computed for the case of wheat production in the Aleppo region of northern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009326358
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Crop biodiversity repercussions of subsidized organic farming in Greece
Nastis, Stefanos A.; Michailidis, Anastasios; Mattas, … - European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE - 2011
This paper analyzes the impact of CAP financial assistance on crop biodiversity under uncertainty. A stochastic production function is employed and estimated to assess whether risk-averse farmers hedge risk by diversifying their portfolio of crops, thus increasing crop biodiversity. The model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009326454
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Farmers’ willingness to vaccinate against endemic animal diseases: A theoretical approach
Rault, Arnaud; Krebs, Stephane - European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE - 2014
farmer’s vaccination decisions over time and the resulting disease dynamics. Numerical simulations are then performed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011125073
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Extreme weather events in Belgium: calamity fund and on-farm strategies hand in hand?
Verspecht, Ann; Van Huylenbroeck, Guido; Buysse, Jeroen - European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE - 2014
Risk management in agriculture has been implemented probably as long as agriculture exists. One of the factors why researchers and policymakers recently are more interested in farm risk management is the vulnerability farmers face towards extreme events (EWE) linked to climate change. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011125127