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algorithm for the estimation of the restricted models. We analyze a system of monthly US data on money and income. The test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015298950
-t distribution. This reduces the estimation time of possibly several hours using conventional MCMC methods to less than a minute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015321114
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015301872
This paper follows the Bayesian time-varying VAR approach with stochastic volatility developed by Primiceri (2005), to analyze whether the reaction of output and prices to interest rate and exchange rate shocks has changed across time (1996-2012) in the Polish economy. The empirical findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015302567
We develop a dynamic general equilibrium model for the positive and normative analysis of macroprudential policies. Optimizing financial intermediaries allocate their scarce net worth together with funds raised from saving households across two lending activities, mortgage and corporate lending....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015298365
and demand. A Bayesian estimation methodology with data augmentation for the latent variables is used. The analysis is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015298940
This paper proposes a novel method for conducting policy analysis with potentially misspecified dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models and applies it to a New Keynesian DSGE model along the lines of Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Evans (JPE 2005 and Smets and Wouters (JEEA 2003)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005033426
Following the 2000 stockmarket crash, have US interest rates been held "too low" in relation to their natural level? Most likely, yes. Using a structural neo-Keynesian model, this paper attempts a real-time evaluation of the US monetary policy stance while ensuring consistency between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816233
The paper provides new tools for the evaluation of DSGE models, and applies it to a large-scale New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with price and wage stickiness and capital accumulation. Specifically, we approximate the DSGE model by a vector autoregression (VAR),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222276
This paper compares from a Bayesian perspective three dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models in order to analyse whether financial frictions are empirically relevant in the Euro Area (EA) and, if so, which type of financial frictions is preferred by the data. The models are: (i) Smets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686886