We decompose the squared VIX index, derived from US S&P500 options prices, into the conditional variance of stock returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models to produce an accurate measure of the conditional variance. We then...

We investigate the empirical relationship between product market competition and prices in the retail grocery sector in the euro area. The study uses micro-data from ACNielsen on chain stores' census characteristics and price levels for a broad variety of products. We construct...

In 1936, John Maynard Keynes proposed that emotions and instincts are pivotal in decision-making, particularly for investors. Both positive and negative moods can influence judgments and decisions, extending to economic and financial choices. Intuitions, emotional states, and biases...

This paper takes a financial market perspective in examining the relationship between oil prices, the US dollar and asset prices, and it exploits the heteroskedasticity for the identification of causality in a multifactor model. It finds a bidirectional causality between the US dollar and oil...

TARGET2-Securities (T2S) is a pan-European platform for securities settlement, developed and operated by the Eurosystem. By September 2017, 22 central securities depositories (CSDs), covering 20 European markets had joined the platform, and now settle euro securities transactions in T2S. The...

This is the 15th progress report on the harmonisation of European securities settlement published by the Eurosystem's Advisory Group on Market Infrastructures for Securities and Collateral (AMI-SeCo). With the aim of further integrating European financial markets and in line with its mandate,...

This is the 13th edition of the TARGET2-Securities Annual Report, which now covers a sixth full year since the end of the T2S migration period. The first edition was published in 2011, a pivotal year for the finalisation of the legal and technical documentation of T2S and for the CSDs'...

This is the 13th edition of the TARGET2-Securities Annual Report, which now covers a sixth full year since the end of the T2S migration period. The first edition was published in 2011, a pivotal year for the finalisation of the legal and technical documentation of T2S and for the CSDs'...

AMI-SeCo considers the harmonisation of post-trade processes, including collateral management, to be critically important in the pursuit of financial market integration in Europe. In the area of securities settlement harmonisation, T2S has contributed significantly to the integration of...

Understanding settlement fails serves the interest of central banks with respect to their oversight competence for payment systems, securities settlement systems (SSSs) and central counterparties (CCPs). This publication draws on Eurosystem expertise on the topic, and on a survey about measures...