Showing 1 - 10 of 98
, learning from the experience of the 1970s, eschewed activist policies in favor of policies that concentrated on the achievement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530787
optimise under limited-information model-consistent learning, where each agent knows the parameters related to his …/her optimization problem. Under this learning approach the effect of a monetary policy shock on output and inflation is more muted but … learning version, we .find stronger expansionary effects of an increase in government expenditure during periods of downturns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100168
We study how the use of judgement or “add-factors” in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005079099
certain features of monetary policy rules that facilitate learning. However a treatment of policy design for learnability in … worlds where agents have potentially misspecified their learning models has yet to surface. This paper provides such a … understanding of the workings of the economy and that their learning the reduced forms of the economy is subject to potentially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222337
time separable preferences strongly improves empirical performance. Learning causes momentum and mean reversion of returns … restrict consideration to learning schemes that imply only small deviations from full rationality. The findings are robust to … the particular learning rule used and the value chosen for the single free parameter introduced by learning, provided …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222379
: rational expectations and learning. We show that in this environment the ability to stabilize the real side of the economy is … private learning and misperceptions of natural rates call for greater policy inertia, a more aggressive response to inflation … economy. We show that such policies are quite robust to potential misspecification of private sector learning and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344938
realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form … differences in the adjustment path to the shocks to the economy when agent form expectations using our learning approach compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008922892
This paper studies to what extent the experiences of households shape their willingness to take financial risks. It follows the methodology of Malmendier and Nagel (2011) and applies it to a novel data set on household finances covering euro area households. We show that experienced stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753731
The change in macroeconomic conditions since the ECB's strategy review in 2021 towards an environment characterised by above-target inflation, high interest rates, and renewed concerns about elevated government debt has been a vocal reminder of the intricate interdependencies between monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015321150
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015322150