Showing 1 - 10 of 21
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015322343
filtered using EGARCH specifications. The estimation results show that upgrades do not have significant effects on volatility …, but downgrades increase stock and bond market volatility. Contagion is present, with sovereign rating announcements … (increase) in volatility in other countries. The empirical results show also a financial gain and risk (value-at-risk) reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015301794
In this paper we examine the quantitative effects of margin regulation on volatility in asset markets. We consider a … of collateral constraints leads to strong excess volatility. Thus, a regulation of margin requirements may have … in the regulation of one class of assets may have only small effect on these assets' return volatility if investors have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015301890
returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models to produce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015301930
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015278797
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015280272
FTSE MIB index and its volatility, is examined using a trivariate Vector Autoregressive model, taking into account the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015321745
This paper explores the link between agent expectations and housing market dynamics. We focus on shifts in the fundamental driving forces of the economy that are anticipated by rational forward-looking agents, i.e. news shocks. Using Bayesian methods and U.S. data, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015298678
This paper analyses the importance of common factors in shaping non-fuel commodityprice movements for the period 1957-2008. For this purpose, a dynamic factor modelis estimated using Kalman Filtering techniques. Based on this set-up we are able toseparate common and idiosyncratic developments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866492
Amid the recent commodity price gyrations, policy makers have become increasinglyconcerned in assessing to what extent oil and food price shocks transmit to theinflationary outlook and the real economy. In this paper, we try to tackle this issue bymeans of a Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866521