This paper investigates the growth impact of the EU's Structural, Cohesion and Pre-accession Funds. We look at a large sample of 27 EU countries and the UK, over a period of 1989 and 2020, essentially covering the full history of these funds. We show that the growth effect of the funds is...

This paper analyses how country-specific institutional quality shapes the impact of monetary policy on downside risks to GDP growth in the euro area. Using identified highfrequency shocks in a growth-at-risk framework, we show that monetary policy has a higher impact on downside risks in the...

While there are many methods to measure the competitiveness of an economy, most of these concepts do not sufficiently distinguish between how market factors influence competitiveness, and what governments can do to improve their competitive position. Disentangling market-induced and...

This paper aims to identify the contribution of the business cycle and structural factors to the development of part-time employment in the EU-15 countries, through the exploitation of both cross-sectional and time series variations over the past two decades. This analysis is used to comment on...

The change in macroeconomic conditions since the ECB's strategy review in 2021 towards an environment characterised by above-target inflation, high interest rates, and renewed concerns about elevated government debt has been a vocal reminder of the intricate interdependencies between monetary...

We provide a versatile nowcasting toolbox that supports three model classes (dynamic factor models, large Bayesian VAR, bridge equations) and offers methods to manage data selection and adjust for Covid-19 observations. The toolbox aims at simplifying two key tasks: creating new nowcasting...

The following sections provide a description of the methodology used as part of the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP) for assessing the interest rate risk in the banking book (IRRBB) and credit spread risk in the banking book (CSRBB) of significant institutions. The ECB uses a...

The ECB has collected data on the unrealised losses of significant institutions under its direct supervision with a view to enhancing the assessment of risk in the held-to-maturity portfolios of euro area banks and to furthering its monitoring of interest rate risk and liquidity risk.