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United States and foreign inflows into euro area debt securities may have added to increased risk appetite and hunt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015299105
This paper proposes a new econometric approach to disentangle two distinct response patterns of the yield curve to monetary policy announcements. Based on cojumps in intraday tick-data of a short and long term interest rate, we develop a day-wise test that detects the occurrence of a significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015301874
This paper examines monetary transmission and macroeconomic shocks in a medium scale macroeconomic model with costly banking estimated for euro area data. In addition to data on measures of real activity and prices, we include data on bank loans, loan rates, and reserves for the estimation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015301278
This paper assesses how financial market participants form their expectations about future government bond spreads. Using monthly survey forecasts for France, Italy and the UK between January 1993 and December 2011, we test whether respondents consider the expected evolution of the fiscal...
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-of-sample forecasting performance. Differences across countries are seemingly linked to market liquidity. The paper further finds that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530689
-month interest rates is explored in an exercise of out-of-sample forecasting. This yield spread appears to contain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222319
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