Showing 1 - 10 of 33
This paper discusses how to model and forecast a vector of time series sampled at different frequencies. To this end we first study how aggregation over time affects both, the dynamic components of a time series and their observability, in a multivariate linear framework. We find that the basic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316562
The article proposes an iterative algorithm for the estimation of fixed and random effects of a nonlinearly aggregated mixed model. The latter arises when an additive Gaussian model is formulated at the disaggregate level on a nonlinear transformation of the responses, but information is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015317357
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015315607
This paper examines the distributions of (zero frequency) unit root test statistics for I(1) processes in the presence of noninvertible moving average components. The analysis initially considers a noninvertible MA(1), for which the asymptotic distribution of the ADF test statistic under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015315610
This work presents a comparison of different techniques for disaggregating annual flow time series by a quarterly related indicator, based on a Monte Carlo experiment. A first goal of the study is related to the estimation of the autoregressive parameter implied by the solution proposed by Chow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316573
This work deals with the problem of obtaining an appropriate preliminary estimate of an unobserved high frequency (say monthly) time series. This problem arises when temporally disaggregating an observed series of low frequency (say quarterly) data. The preliminary estimated series should not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316588
The paper documents and illustrates state space methods that implement time series disaggregation by regression methods, with dynamics that depend on a single autoregressive parameter. The most popular techniques for the distribution of economic flow variables, such as Chow-Lin, Fern´andez and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316567
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316585
The paper documents and illustrates state space methods that implement time series disaggregation by regression methods, with dynamics that depend on a single autoregressive parameter. The most popular techniques for the distribution of economic flow variables, such as Chow-Lin, Fernandez and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015317356
We investigate the effects of the misspecification of cointegrating ranks at other frequencies on the inference of seasonal cointegration at the frequency of interest such as test for cointegrating rank and estimation of cointegrating vector. Earlier studies mostly focused on a single frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015315603