Chigira, Hiroaki; Yamamoto, Taku - Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University - 2006
It is widely recognized that taking cointegration relationships into consideration is useful in forecasting …-known vector error correction model. First, it is hard to identify the cointegration rank in large models. Second, since the number … accuracy when we work with a larger model as long as the ratio of the cointegration rank to the number of variables in the …