Showing 1 - 10 of 35
In this paper, we analytically investigate three efficient estimators for cointegrating regression models: Phillips and Hansen's (1990) fully modified OLS estimator, Park's (1992) canonical cointegrating regression estimator, and Saikkonen's (1991) dynamic OLS estimator. First, by the Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005650647
In this paper, we consider the role of "leads" of the first difference of integrated variables in the dynamic OLS estimation of cointegrating regression models. We demonstrate that the role of leads is related to the concept of Granger causality and that in some cases leads are unnecessary in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005675469
) test for the null hypothesis of cointegration. We derive the asymptotic local power functions and compare them with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005675491
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001749485
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chi-square distribution. A test for the ranks of submatrices of the cointegration matrix and its orthogonal matrix plays a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783917
It is widely recognized that taking cointegration relationships into consideration is useful in forecasting …-known vector error correction model. First, it is hard to identify the cointegration rank in large models. Second, since the number … accuracy when we work with a larger model as long as the ratio of the cointegration rank to the number of variables in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005489431
In this paper, Mallows'(1973) Cp criterion, Akaike's (1973) AIC, Hurvich and Tsai's (1989) corrected AIC and the BIC of Akaike (1978) and Schwarz (1978) are derived for the leads-and-lags cointegrating regression. Deriving model selection criteria for the leads-and-lags regression is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005650694
the submatrix of cointegration. In this paper, we propose a procedure for conducting Granger non-causality tests that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005675453
It is widely believed that taking cointegration and integration into consideration is useful in constructing long …-term forecasts for cointegrated processes. This paper shows that imposing neither cointegration nor integration leads to superior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005675519