This paper analyses the functioning of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). To that end, we apply the duration model approach to estimate an eclectic model that enables us to explicitly incorporate political and institutional factors into the explanation of European exchange rate...

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the past, present, and future of the European Monetary System (EMS). After examining its background, we review the structure and operation of the EMS, as well as the theoretical framework used to explain exchange-rate movements inside official fluctuation...

We propose a new test to detect chaotic dynamics, based on the stability of the largest Lyapunov exponent from different sample sizes. This test is applied to the data used in the single-blind controlled competition tests for nonlinearity and chaos that were generated by Barnett et al. (1997),...

In this paper we provide some new evidence on the credibility of the ERM. Our paper differs from the previous literature in three main respects. First, its main contribution is the use of several credibility indicators, some of them never been applied before to all the currencies under study....

This paper investigates the profitability of a simple and very common technical trading rule applied to the General Index of the Madrid Stock Market. The optimal trading rule parameter values are found using a genetic algorithm. The results suggest that, for reasonable trading costs, the...

This paper examines the degree of export-price dispersion among European Union countries and its evolution in the recent past (1988-1999). The paper also explores the likely impact of the European Monetary Union on export-price convergence by looking at the past experience of European countries...

This work presents the evaluation results of the investments programmes cointained in the “Programa Operativo Integrado of Castilla-La Mancha (POICLM)”, for the 2000-2006 period. The program amounts to 2102 million of 1995-euros. In order to calculate them, we use the adaptation of the...