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Monetary policy: why money matters, and interest rates don’t

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2012

rate. Money’s role in monetary policy has been tertiary, at best. Indeed, several influential economists have suggested … that money is irrelevant for monetary policy. They suggest that central banks can control inflation by (i) controlling a … rate in order to exert greater control over longer-term rates. I offer an alternative perspective: namely, that money is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010558739

The effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy: the term auction facility

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2010

This paper investigates the effectiveness of one of the Fed’s unconventional monetary policy tools, the term auction facility (TAF). At issue is whether the TAF reduced the spread between LIBOR rates and equivalent-term Treasury rates by reducing the liquidity premium embedded in LIBOR rates....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008690987

Demographics, redistribution, and optimal inflation

Bullard, James; Garriga, Carlos; Waller, Christopher J. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2012

May 30, 2012. "Demographics, Redistribution, and Optimal Inflation," with Carlos Garriga and Christopher J. Waller. Presented by Christopher Waller at the 2012 BOJ-IMES Conference Demographic Changes and Macroeconomic Performance.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727313

The Federal Reserve’s response to the financial crisis: what it did and what it should have done

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2012

This paper analyzes the Federal Reserve’s major policy actions in response to the financial crisis. The analysis is divided into the pre-Lehman and post-Lehman monetary policies. Specifically, I describe the pre- and post-Lehman monetary policy actions that I believe were appropriate and those...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010592585

How effective is central bank forward guidance?

Kool, Clemens J.M.; Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2012

This paper investigates the effectiveness of forward guidance for the central banks of four countries: New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, and the United States. We test whether forward guidance improved market participants’ ability to forecast future short-term and long-term rates. We find that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010600550

The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us

Meade, Ellen E.; Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2010

The Phillips curve framework, which includes the output gap and natural rate hypothesis, plays a central role in the canonical macroeconomic model used in analyses of monetary policy. It is now well understood that real-time data must be used to evaluate historical monetary policy. We believe...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008465671

A new federal funds rate target series: September 27, 1982, - December 31, 1993

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2005

meetings, the FOMC Blue Book, the Report of Open Market Operations and Money Market Conditions, and data that the author …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352810

Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2005

Despite its important role in macroeconomics and finance, the expectations hypothesis (EH) of the term structure of interest rates has received little empirical support. While the EH*s poor performance has been attributed to a variety of sources, none appear to account for the EH*s poor...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352812

The daily liquidity effect

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2006

Motivated, on the one hand, by the belief that the Fed controls the short-term rate through open market operations, and on the other, by "the lack of convincing proof that this is what happens," Hamilton (1997) suggested that more convincing evidence of the liquidity effect could be obtained...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352851

The daily and policy-relevant liquidity effects

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2007

In an environment of low inflation, the Federal Reserve faces the risk that it has not provided enough monetary stimulus even when it has pushed the short-term nominal interest rate to its lower bound of zero. Assuming the nominal Treasury-bill rate has been lowered to zero, this paper considers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352881