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"We show that when in Lucas trees model the process for dividends is described by a lattice tree subject to infrequent but observable structural breaks, in equilibrium recursive rational learning may inflate the equity risk premium and reduce the risk-free interest rate for low levels of risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002977384
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stocks. Consumption-to-wealth ratios are found to depend on the underlying state and welfare costs from ignoring regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917579
"This paper finds strong evidence of time-variations in the joint distribution of returns on a stock market portfolio and portfolios tracking size--and value effects. Mean returns, volatilities and correlations between these equity portfolios are found to be driven by underlying regimes that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917584
"This paper develops a two-country OLG model under the assumption that investors are on a Bayesian learning path. While investors from both countries receive identical information flows, domestic investors start off with less precise prior beliefs concerning foreign fundamentals. On a learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917587
moments of the wealth distribution such as its skewness and kurtosis. Time-variations in investment opportunities are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002977388
"Campbell and Vuolteenaho (2004) and Brennan, Wang, and Xia (2004) recently argue that the value premium co-moves with investment opportunities and thus reflects rational pricing. This paper extends their analysis by showing that the ICAPM interpretation of the value premium also sheds light on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002995301