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We investigate the informational content of options-implied probability density functions (PDFs) for the future price of oil. Using a semiparametric variant of the methodology in Breeden and Litzenberger (1978), we investigate the fit and smoothness of distributions derived from alternative PDF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075152
question. Using Kalman Filter techniques, we estimate the risk exposure dynamics of a large sample of live and dead equity long … is found that more active funds outperform the less active ones. However, when risk adjusted returns are used to measure … use their skills to manage the riskiness of their portfolios and are, therefore, able to provide higher risk adjusted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010892321
We exploit exogenous variation in the amount of public information available to banks about a firm to empirically …) reduced the amount of public information available to Pakistani banks about a firm's creditworthiness. Prior to 2006, the SBP … published credit information not only about the firm in question but also (aggregate) credit information about the firm's group …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011119890
volatility risk. While pointing out the joint pricing kernel is not identified nonparametrically, we propose model-free estimates … of marginal pricing kernels of the market return and volatility conditional on the VIX. We find that the pricing kernel … present a U-shape. Hence, stochastic volatility is the key state variable responsible for the U-shape puzzle documented in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886219
liquidity and specialness, suggesting that dealers respond to both valuation and information uncertainties; (4) Dealers exhibit … forecast bond returns only one day after the auction, suggesting that dealers have price-relevant information but the … information decays quickly. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886228
correlated with the aggregate hedge-fund wealth volatility after the anomaly is discovered. Our model also sheds light on how to … distinguish between risk- and mispricing-based anomalies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268463
controlling for standard risk factors. Liquidity deteriorates on FTS days both in the bond and equity markets. Both economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010787051
The expansion in financial sector "safe" assets, largely in the form of structured products from the U.S. and the Caribbean, in the lead-up to the global financial crisis has by now been fairly well documented. Using a unique dataset derived from security-level data on U.S. portfolio holdings of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075153
Dealers in over-the-counter securities form networks to mitigate search frictions. The audit trail for municipal bonds shows the dealer network has a core-periphery structure. Central dealers are more efficient at matching buyers and sellers than peripheral dealers, which shortens intermediation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095300
This study analyzes the reaction of the U.S. Treasury bond market to innovations in macroeconomic fundamentals. We identify these innovations with macroeconomic news, defined as differences between the actual releases and their market expectations. We show that macroeconomic news explain about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886226