Showing 1 - 10 of 120
We study the impact of oil price shocks on U.S. stock market volatility. We derive three different structural oil shock … variables (i.e. aggregate demand, oil-supply, and oil-demand shocks) and relate them to stock market volatility, using bivariate … stock market volatility only with delay. This implies that innovations to the price of crude oil are not strictly exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011162062
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010833918
In this paper I have used copula functions to forecast the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an equally weighted portfolio comprising a small cap stock index and a large cap stock index for the oil and gas industry. The following empirical questions have been analyzed: (i) are there nonnormalities in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005012145
This paper evaluates how different types of speculation affect the volatility of commodities’ futures prices. We adopt …-2010 analyzed at weekly frequency. Using GARCH models we find that speculation significantly affects volatility of returns: short … term speculation has a positive and significant impact on volatility, while long term speculation generally has a negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010665508
The relevance of oil in the world economy explains why considerable effort has been devoted to the development of different types of econometric models for oil price forecasting. Several specifications have been proposed in the economic literature. Some are based on financial theory and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423181
The empirical literature is very far from any consensus about the appropriate model for oil price forecasting that should be implemented. Relative to the previous literature, this paper is novel in several respects. First of all, we test and systematically evaluate the ability of several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421234
This paper analyzes the efficient taxation of oil and capital income in an oil-dependent infinite-lived economy facing perfect capital mobility. Two cases are examined: one with product market imperfections and free tax choice, one with perfect competition and tax restrictions. The optimal tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008489596
The Chinese leadership in November 2013 determined to embark upon a new wave of comprehensive reforms in China. This is … clearly reflected by the key decision of the Third Plenum of the 18th Central Committee of Communist Party of China to assign … is crucial because it sends clear signals to both producers and consumers of energy. While the overall trend of China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011162044
Sectoral Market Mechanism (SMM) in China. Based on a detailed overview of domestic policy instruments under SMM, this paper … econometric analysis. The data were collected from 113 respondents in all 11 prefecture-level cities of Shanxi province, China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011162047
Putting a price on carbon is considered a crucial step for China’s endeavor of harnessing the market forces to reduce … its energy consumption and carbon emissions. Indeed, aligned with China’s grand experiment with low-carbon provinces and … market power of dominated players, use of offsets, and enforcement and compliance. This article explains why China turns to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268612