Fadiga, Mohamadou L.; Okike, Iheanacho; Bett, Bernard - International Association of Agricultural Economists - IAAE - 2012
The risk of spread of HPAI in Nigeria was derived by using a compartmental model to outline endemic and burn-out scenarios. Two paths, low and high mortality risks, were associated to each of the scenarios. The estimated risk parameters were then used to stochastically simulate the trajectory of...