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This paper proposes the evaluation of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) under a new learning mechanism where VAR learning dynamics is combined with the idea of testing the validity of the forward-looking model of inflation dynamics. The key assumption is that agents’ perceived law of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835891
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647230
We provide an analytical approach that facilitates understanding the bifurcation mechanism of a wide class of economic models involving spatial agglomeration of economic activities. The proposed method overcomes the limitations of the Turing (1952) approach that has been used to analyze the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008541511
Macro Models are a series of free Apps available in App Store, and they work with Ipads. Each App simulates a specific macroeconomic model and presents both the static and the dynamic results. The first five Apps developed and published are: the Income-Expenditure model in three versions (I, II...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260545
This article proposes that Okun’s Law is an empirical relationship between employment and production which, in the United States, correlates to the relationship between the radius of a circle and one-half of its circumference i.e. numerically, the ratio 1 : .. This requires two new sets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261194
This study examines the expectational stability of the rational expectations equilibria (REE) under alternative Taylor rules when trend inflation is non-zero. We find that when trend inflation is high, the REE is likely to be expectationally unstable. This result holds true regardless of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498482
This study examines the expectational stability of the rational expectation equilibria(REE) under Taylor rules when trend inflation is non-zero. We find that whether or not a higher (lower) trend inflation makes the REE more (less) unstable depends largely on the data (such as contemporaneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005109551
The paper discusses opportunities to utilize the series of micro-blogs as provided by the Twitter in observation of opinion dynamics. The spontaneity of tweets is more, as the service is attached more to the mobile communications. The extraction of information in the series of tweets is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008695068
The focus of this study is on black markets which provide an important segment of the parallel economy. These markets operate in disequilibrium,search and information costs become very important.Trafficking in drugs taken as case, to explore both theoretically and empirically. The problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422026
In the current paper, we study the asymmetric normal-form game between two heterogeneous groups of populations by employing the stochastic replicator dynamics driven by Lévy process. A new game equilibrium, i.e., the game equilibrium of a stochastic differential cooperative game on time, is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109007