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At the onset of the COVID pandemic, the U.S. economy suddenly and swiftly lost 20 million jobs. Over the next two years, the economy has been on the recovery path. We assess the labor market two years into the COVID crisis. We show that early employment dynamics were almost entirely driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362041
Britain, we study wage behavior in both countries, with particular attention to the Great Recession. Real wages are … two countries. U.S. distributions of year-to-year nominal wage change show many workers reporting zero change (suggesting … wage stickiness) and many reporting nominal reductions (suggesting wage flexibility), but both findings could be distorted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459184
Depression on corporate welfarism,' i.e., employers' voluntary provisions of non-wage benefits, greater employment security, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469141
about nominal wage adjustments in the United States. The data allow us to define a worker's per-period base contract wage … likely the appropriate concept of wage stickiness in many macro models. Nominal base wage declines are much rarer than … previously thought with only 2% of job-stayers receiving a nominal base wage cut during a given year. However, accounting for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479580
We revisit the role of temporary layoffs in the business cycle, motivated by their unprecedented surge during the pandemic recession. We first measure the contribution of temporary layoffs to unemployment dynamics over the period 1979 to the present. While many have emphasized a stabilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334353
infer from this that there is potential for wage-push inflation. However, real wages are falling rapidly at present and …, prior to that, real wages had been stagnant for some time. We show that unemployment is not key to understanding wage … and those out of the labor force who are not working significantly reduce wage pressures in the United States. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361977
By preemptive austerity, we mean a policy that increases taxes to deter potential rollover crises. The policy is so successful that the usual danger signal of a rollover crisis, a high yield on new bonds sold, does not show up because the policy eliminates the danger. Mechanically, high taxes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436959
This work explores how Argentina overcame the Great Depression and asks whether active macroeconomic interventions made any contribution to the recovery. In particular, we study Argentine macroeconomic policy as it deviated from gold-standard orthodoxy after the final suspension of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471138
The recent consensus view, that the gold standard was the leading cause of the worldwide Great Depression 1929-33, stems from two propositions: (1) Under the gold standard, deflationary shocks were transmitted between countries and, (2) for most countries, continued adherence to gold prevented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471669
We analyze a financial collapse, such as the one which occurred during the Great Depression, from the perspective of a monetary model with multiple equilibria. The economy we consider contains financial fragility due to increasing returns to scale in the intermediation process. Intermediaries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472720