Showing 1 - 10 of 25
This paper attempts to analyze the relationships between the ASEAN-5 countries' business cycles. We examine the nature of business cycles correlation trying to disentangle between regional spillover effects (expansion and recession phases among the ASEAN-5 are correlated) and global spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933854
The current financial crisis has now led most major central banks to rely covertly or overtly on quantitative easing. The unique Japanese experience of quantitative easing is the only experience which enables us to judge this therapy's effectiveness and the timing of the exit strategy. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794832
We consider a threshold autoregressive stochastic volatility model where the driving noises are sequences of iid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008790909
can only be realized if a certain threshold is reached. Thresholds can be of different forms such as a certain number of … given game and a given threshold. It is derived from a decomposition of the Shapley value. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793430
The scientific study article (a monograph) presents a model for forecasting and estimating the evolution of the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821018
Business surveys are an important element in the analysis of the short-term economic situation because of the timeliness and nature of the information they convey. Especially, surveys are often involved in econometric models in order to provide an early assessment of the current state of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738446
In this article, we specify the different approaches followed by the economists and the financial economists in order to use chaos theory. We explain the main difference using this theory with other research domains like the mathematics and the physics. Finally, we present tools necessary for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738474
This papier formalizes the process of forecasting unbalanced monthly data sets in order to obtain robust nowcasts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738546
This paper focuses on the use of dynamical chaotic systems in Economics and Finance. In these fields, researchers employ different methods from those taken by mathematicians and physicists. We discuss this point. Then, we present statistical tools and problems which are innovative and can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738625
overfitting in-sample for better and more stable forecasting performance out-of-sample we show that fundamentals from the PPP … forecasting horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899931