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In a paper published in 1952, the French mathematician Georges-Théodule Guilbaud has generalized Arrow's impossibility result to the "logical problem of aggregation", thus anticipating the literature on abstract aggregation theory and judgment aggregation. We reconstruct the proof of Guilbaud's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738468
In this paper we describe some research directions in social choice and aggregation theory led at the “Centre de Mathématique Sociale“ since the fifties. We begin by presenting some institutional aspects concerning this EHESS center. Then we sketch a thematic history by considering the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750632
take a non-Bayesian approach to uncertainty, where "ambiguity" is taken into account. We consider some specific argument of … central bank transparency harmful. We show that when ambiguity is large enough, these results do not hold anymore: political … uncertainty; Knightian uncertainty; ambiguity; non-Bayesian approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008836784
Real options models characterized by the presence of ambiguity have been recently proposed. But based on recursive … multiple-priors approaches to solve ambiguity, these seminal models reduce individual preferences to extreme pessimism by … dynamics of ambiguous expected cash flows, we show that a much broader spectrum of attitudes towards ambiguity may be accounted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793841
In a paper published in 1952, shortly after publication of Arrow's celebrated impossibility result, the French mathematicien Georges-Théodule Guilbaud has obtained a dictatorship result for the logical problem of aggregation, thus anticipating the literature on abstract aggregation theory and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603633
aversion to ambiguity. We show that the result found in the literature under the bayesian approach does not hold when the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738952
-maker's attitude to risk and provide comparative static results. We also assume ambiguity about the probability distribution of the … ambiguity. We show that this value increases with greater ambiguity, with greater ambiguity aversion, and in some cases with … greater risk aversion. Finally we examine whether a more risk-averse and a more ambiguity-averse individual will invest in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821390
We study the attitudes of junior and senior employees towards strategic uncertainty and competition, by means of a market entry game inspired by Camerer and Lovallo (1999). Seniors exhibit higher entry rates compared to juniors, especially when earnings depend on relative performance. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821398
of ambiguity, there exists an equilibrium with inertia where agents also insure fully against Knightian uncertainty. When … the level of ambiguity exceeds a critical threshold, full insurance no longer prevails and there exist equilibria with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734228
We review recent advances in the field of decision making under uncertainty or ambiguity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738626