Showing 1 - 10 of 136
sustainable travel. Three models are presented successively with some results from simulation. The first model relates to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792524
Expected Shortfall (ES) has been widely accepted as a risk measure that is conceptually superior to Value-at-Risk (VaR … desirable properties of risk measures like coherence, comonotonic additivity, robustness and elicitability. We check VaR, ES and … their impact on capital allocation, an important issue in risk management. We find that, despite the caveats that apply to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821003
Risk diversification is the basis of insurance and investment. It is thus crucial to study the effects that could limit … it. One of them is the existence of systemic risk that affects all the policies at the same time. We introduce here a … probabilistic approach to examine the consequences of its presence on the risk loading of the premium of a portfolio of insurance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899196
Measuring the risk of a financial portfolio involves two steps: estimating the loss distribution of the portfolio from … available observations and computing a ``risk measure" which summarizes the risk of the portfolio. We define the notion of … ``risk measurement procedure", which includes both of these steps and introduce a rigorous framework for studying the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793218
under uncertainty and the industrial point of view based on the notion of risk management. This serves as a basis for the … definition of an approach based on simulation and decision theory that is dedicated to the design of cooperative processes in a … customer-supplier relationship. This approach includes the evaluation, in terms of risk, of different cooperative processes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793710
approach aims at evaluating in term of risks different demand management strategies within the supply chain using a simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793785
The scientific study article (a monograph) presents a model for forecasting and estimating the evolution of the market demand.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821018
This paper addresses the integration of ill-know requirements (imprecision or uncertainty on f quantities or due dates) in a requirement plan (expressed in terms of quantities by periods). Ill-known requirements may come from a customer of the supply chain (forecast orders) or from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820864
the uncertain information is perceived and treated differently by various decision-makers and allows to predict the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010584451
This paper provides an introduction to the mathematical theory of possibility, and examines how this tool can contribute to the analysis of far distant futures. The degree of mathematical possibility of a future is a number between O and 1. It quantifies the extend to which a future event is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008791955