In this article, we propose the Bayesian estimation of the parsimonious but effective GARCH(1,1) model with Normal innovations. We sample the parameters joint posterior distribution using the approach suggested by Nakatsuma (1998). As a first step, we fit the model to foreign exchange...

The hedge fund represents a unique investment opportunity for the institutional and private investors in the diffusion-type financial systems. The main objective of this condensed article is to research the hedge fund’s optimal investment portfolio strategies selection in the global capital...

In this paper we investigate the Smets & Wouters (2003a) DSGE model for Brazil, through a numerical simulation based on the Dynare code (developed by Cepremap). Impulse Response functions are presented and a Bayesian estimation is also conducted from the prior distributions of the parameters.

In this article we try to introduce Bayesian methodology for the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the Ukrainian economy. The resulting impulse response functions can be used for increasing the efficiency of monetary and fiscal policy interventions. In addition, we...

This paper develops a macroeconomic model of the interaction between consumer debt and firm debt over the business cycle. I incorporate interest rate spreads generated by firm and household loan default risk into a real business cycle model. I estimate the model on US aggregate data. This allows...

In this note on the paper from (Jiang, Manchanda & Rossi 2009) I want to discuss a simple alternative estimation method of the multinomial logit model for aggregated data, the so called BLP model, named after (Berry, Levinsohn & Pakes 1995). The estimation is conducted through a bayesian...

In recent years, major advances have taken place in three areas of random utility modeling: (1) semiparametric estimation, (2) computational methods for multinomial probit models, and (3) computational methods for Bayesian stimation. This paper summarizes these developments and discusses their...

In this paper I use a medium scale open economy DSGE model developed by Baksa, Benk and Jakab (2010) for the Hungarian economy. This model provides a notable degree of disaggregation both on the government revenue and expenditure side, being able to capture the shocks that come from fiscal...

This study implements Mathematica to estimate a system of national accounts. The estimation methods applied are portrayed in Danilov and Magnus (2008), including the Bayesian estimation, restricted and unrestricted least-squares estimation and best linear unbiased estimation. Operationalizing...

Macroeconomic practitioners frequently work with multivariate time series models such as VARs, factor augmented VARs as well as time-varying parameter versions of these models (including variants with multivariate stochastic volatility). These models have a large number of parameters and, thus,...