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Were Trade and Factor Mobility Substitutes in History?
Collins, William J. - 1997
Trade theorists have come to understand that their theory is ambiguous on the question: Are trade and factor flows substitutes? While this sounds like an open invitation for empirical research, hardly any serious econometric work has appeared in the literature. This paper uses history to fill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472755
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Implied Exchange Rate Distributions : Evidence from OTC Option Markets
Campa, Jose M. - 1997
This paper uses a rich new data set of option prices on the dollar-mark, dollar-yen, and key EMS cross-rates to extract the entire risk-neutral probability density function (pdf) over horizons of one and three months. We compare three alternative smoothing methods---cubic splines, an implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472635
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International Transmission Under Bretton Woods
Stockman, Alan C. - 1992
This paper explores the main channels of international transmission of economic disturbances under the Bretton Woods System and presents evidence on the short-run international transmission of inflation under that system. There appears to have been little short-run international transmission of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474846
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Productivity and Machinery Investment : A Long Run Look 1870-1980
De Long, J. Bradford - 1991
Over the past century the long-run growth of six economies shows a strong association between investment in machinery and economic growth that holds both within and across nations and periods. A similar strong association holds for the post-world War II period for a broader cross section of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475084
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Tastes and Technology in a Two-Country Model of the Business Cycle : Explaining International Comovements
Stockman, Alan C. - 1990
This paper studies the international transmission of business cycles by developing a two-country real business-cycle model and confronting it with a broad set of empirical observations. These observations include variances and covariances of output, labor, consumption, employment, and investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475480
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Post-War Economic Growth in the Group-of-Five Countries : A New Analysis
Boskin, Michael J. - 1990
Group-of-Five (G-5) countries: France, West Germany, Japan, United Kingdom and United states. It is assumed that all … France, West Germany and Japan, and between 8 and 10 percent per annum for the U.K. and the U.S. for the period under study …, the productive efficiencies of France, West Germany and Japan rose rapidly from less than 40 percent of the U.S. level in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475512
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Who Are the Hand-to-Mouth?
Aguiar, Mark A. - 2020
Many households hold little wealth, especially liquid wealth. In precautionary savings models, absent preference heterogeneity, these households should display not only higher marginal propensities to consume (MPCs), but also lower average propensities to consume (APCs) and higher future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479167
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Gender Differences in COVID-19 Related Attitudes and Behavior : Evidence from a Panel Survey in Eight OECD Countries
Galasso, Vincenzo - 2020
Using original data from two waves of a survey conducted in March and April 2020 in eight OECD countries (N = 21,649), we show that women are more likely to see COVID-19 as a very serious health problem, to agree with restraining public policy measures adopted in response to it, and to comply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481554
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Data Gaps and the Policy Response to the Novel Coronavirus
Stock, James H. - 2020
This note lays out the basic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model of contagion, with a target audience of economists who want a framework for understanding the effects of social distancing and containment policies on the evolution of contagion and interactions with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482082
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Answering the Queen : Machine Learning and Financial Crises
Fouliard, Jeremy - 2020
Financial crises cause economic, social and political havoc. Macroprudential policies are gaining traction but are still severely under-researched compared to monetary policy and fiscal policy. We use the general framework of sequential predictions also called online machine learning to forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482520