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hedging strategies by a nonlinear version of the Black-Scholes PDE. The core of the paper consists of a simulation study. We … new explanation of the smile pattern of implied volatility related to the lack of market liquidity. Finally we present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859384
The estimation of multivariate GARCH models remains a challenging task, even in modern computer environments. This … of the time otherwise required. The proposed method is a two-step procedure, separating the estimation of the correlation … computationally cheap and extremely accurate — most notably in the tail, which is crucial for risk calculations. A simulation study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857739
We consider the modelling of rare events in financial time series,and introduce a marked point process model for the excesses of thetime series over a high threshold that combines a self-exciting processfor the exceedances with a mark (size) dependent process. This allowsrealistic models for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858382
simultaneous modeling of stochastic correlation and volatility. The solutions of the model are in closed form and include an … correlation risk is a non-negligible fraction of the myopic portfolio, which often dominates the pure volatility hedging demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858523
This paper examines latent risk factors in models for migration risk. We employ thestandard statistical framework for ordered categorical variables and induce dependencebetween migrations by means of latent risk factors. By assuming a Markov process forthe dynamics of the latent factors, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857974
admitting multivariate thresholds in conditional volatilitiesand correlations. The model estimation is feasible in large … volatility functions of stock returns exhibit pronounced GARCH and threshold features, their conditional correlation dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858198
and confidence intervals. The approach is based on a Functional Gradient Descent (FGD) estimation of the conditional mean … filtered historical simulation to compute reliable out-of-sample yield curve scenarios and confidenceintervals. We back-test our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858199
The main tools and cocepts of financial and actuarial theory are designed to handle standards, or even small risk. The aim of this paper is to reconsider some selected financial problems, in a setup including infrequent extreme risks. We first consider investors maximizing the expected utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857795
In discrete time, every time-consistent dynamic monetary risk measure can be written as a composition of one-step risk measures. We exploit this structure to give new dual representation results for time-consistent convex monetary risk measures in terms of one-step penalty functions. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858039
We consider a class of law-invariant convex risk measures which have a.robust representation of the form ρ(X ) = ...... . The supremum is taken over the set of all Radon Nikodym derivatives corresponding to the set of all probability measures on B(0,1] which are absolutely continuous with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858042