Foreign investors' changing appetite for risk-taking have been shown to be a key determinant of the global financial … cycle. Such fluctuations in risk sentiment also correlate with the dynamics of UIP premia, capital flows, and exchange rates …. To understand how these risk sentiment changes transmit across borders, we propose a two-country macroeconomic framework …

Recent trends suggest the world economy may be tending towards an equilibrium with two distinct trading blocs, each … internally integrated, but with significant isolation between the blocs. This paper uses a quantitative theory to explore how far … this bifurcation would need to go to pose a threat to the special role of the dollar in international exchange. The theory …

producing sector, when fiscal rules generate sustained fiscal surpluses, when the rest of the world has lower expansion …. The latter is more likely if bubbles develop along the expansionary path. These (rational) bubbles can emerge even when …

relative to the rest of the world, and shifts in investor demand for U.S. financial assets contributed approximately equally to …

prices, bond yields, and risk premia suggests that systematic US monetary policy reactions to news do not drive the estimated … effects. Instead, the evidence points to a direct effect on investors' risk-taking capacity. Our findings show that a …